SRCSGT | B | Colorado State University to conduct stochastic analysis, modeling and simulation of the Colorado River stream flows to provide scenarios of stream flow patterns that may occur during future planning horizons. Phase II of an on-going project.

FBO DAILY ISSUE OF AUGUST 03, 2005 FBO #1346
SOURCES SOUGHT

B -- Colorado State University to conduct stochastic analysis, modeling and simulation of the Colorado River stream flows to provide scenarios of stream flow patterns that may occur during future planning horizons. Phase II of an on-going project.

Notice Date: 8/1/2005
Notice Type: Sources Sought
Contracting Office: Bureau of Reclamation, Lower Colorado Region Contracting Office P.O. Box 61470 Boulder City NV 89006
ZIP Code: 89006
Solicitation Number: 05SP303221
Response Due: 8/8/2005
Archive Date: 8/1/2006
Small Business Set-Aside: N/A
Description: The Bureau of Reclamation, Lower Colorado Region, Boulder City, Nevada, intends to award on a sole source basis a contract to Colorado State University (CSU), Fort Collins, Colorado. This is follow-on work for Phase II of an ongoing study currently being performed by CSU. The Government has made the determination that it would be in their best interest to sole source this effort to CSU due to the proprietary nature of the software being utilized. The Bureau of Reclamation, Boulder City, NV, has a requirement for the following: Task 1. Conduct stochastic analysis, modeling and simulation of the Colorado River stream flows to provide likely scenarios of stream flow patterns that may occur during future planning horizons. Annual, seasonal, and monthly temporal scales across the Upper and the Lower Colorado basin will be examined. Improved modeling capabilities such as models for intermittent streams, seasonal models of shifting means, alternative models for temporal disaggregation, and non-parametric modeling procedures may be developed. Task 2. Enhance the Stochastic Analysis, Modeling, and Simulation (SAMS) software package to include various other options and modeling alternatives and to improve the input and output interface and graphical display of results. Task 3. Characterize the severity, recurrence and risk of low flows and droughts for the entire Colorado River system. This will include analysis based on historical naturalized flows, reconstructed flows based on tree ring indices, stochastic generated flows, and analytical approximations. Drought characterization will be made based on annual and seasonal stream flows at single and multiple sites. Task 4. On site training of the main products (models plus software) developed in the project. The anticipated award date is on or about August 15, 2005. For questions, please contact Shirley Marion at (702) 293-8034 or email smarion@lc.usbr.gov. The North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) code is 541990, the size standard is $6.0 M.
Web Link: Please click here to view more details.
(http://ideasec.nbc.gov/j2ee/announcementdetail.jsp?serverId=BR142534&objId=140712)
Place of Performance: Address: Fort Collins, Colorado; Zip Code: 805231372; Country: USA
Record: SN00859440-W 20050803/050801212328 (fbodaily.com)
Source: FedBizOpps.gov Link to This Notice
(may not be valid after Archive Date)

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B -- Colorado State University to conduct stochastic analysis, modeling and simulation of the Colorado River stream flows to provide scenarios of stream flow patterns that may occur during future planning horizons. Phase II of an on-going project.