SPECIAL NOTICE
F -- Modeling Analysis For Toxic Urban Runoff Threats
- Notice Date
- 7/13/2023 11:52:44 AM
- Notice Type
- Special Notice
- NAICS
- 541620
— Environmental Consulting Services
- Contracting Office
- DEPT OF COMMERCE NOAA SEATTLE WA 98115 USA
- ZIP Code
- 98115
- Solicitation Number
- NFFP7210-23-02657JRW
- Response Due
- 7/28/2023 11:00:00 AM
- Archive Date
- 07/29/2023
- Point of Contact
- Jamie Rosales, Phone: 3035786951
- E-Mail Address
-
jamie.rosales@noaa.gov
(jamie.rosales@noaa.gov)
- Description
- ***THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION�S (NOAA) ACQUISITION & GRANTS OFFICE, WESTERN ACQUISITION DIVISION-BOULDER, NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE (NMFS), INTENDS TO NEGOTIATE, ON A SOLE SOURCE BASIS, UNDER AUTHORITY OF FAR 13.106-1(b)(1), WITH MOUNT HOOD ENVIRONMENTAL LLC OUT OF BORING OREGON FOR BAYESIAN MODEL EVALUATION ANALYSIS TO BE PERFORMED AT THE PUGET SOUND, WA. ***THE SOLE SOURCE DETERMINATION IS BASED ON NOAA�S REQUIREMENT THAT MOUNT HOOD ENVIRONMENTAL LLC IS THE ONLY VENDOR THAT SPECIALIZES IN STATISTICAL ANALYSES PRESENTLY ONLY AVAILABLE FROM MOUNT HOOD ENVIRONMENTAL LLC AND MODELING FOR AN UPDATED LAND USE ANALYSIS, USING THE LATEST AVAILABLE DATE ON OBSERVED SALMON SPAWNER MORTALITES IN URBAN WATERSHEDS, ROAD DENSITY AND TRAFFIC INTENSITY, LAND USE/COVER, AND SEASONAL PRECIPITATION. THE FITTED MODEL WILL BE ALSO USED TO HELP GUIDE FIELD SAMPLING STREAM SURVEYS TO VALIDATE PREDICTED RATE OF MORTALITY FORM THE MODELS IN FALL OF 2023. THE NEW MODELING WILL SERVE AS THE BASIS FOR ALTERNATIVE SAMPLING DESIGNS (I.E. VARYING IN SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION, TOTAL SAMPLE SIZE AND NUMBER OF CARCASSES) THAT CAPTURE A GRADIENT OF URBANIZATION INTENSITY AND ASSOCIATED RISK. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY SIMULATION EXERCISES, WHEREBY OUTPUTS FROM THE MODEL�S POSTERIOR PREDICTIVE DISTRIBUTION WILL BE REFIT TO ASSESS THE CHANGE IN POSTERIOR UNCERTAINTY FOR KEY PARAMETERS, TO REDUCE UNCERTAINTY AND IMPROVE PRESICION. THE PROJECT WILL BUILD DIRECTLY FROM A CUSTOMIZED MODELING PLATFORM DEVELOPED SPECIFICALLY FOR THIS PURPOSE AS PUBLISHED IN EARLIER CYCLES. THIS PROJECT WILL UPDATE A VERY TARGETED AND SUCCESSFUL MODELING FRAMEWORK ORIGINALLY CONSTRUCTED (2011) AND SUBSEQUENTLY EXPANDED (2017) USING CUTTING-EDGE STATISTICAL METHODS. THE NEED FOR THESE SERVICES IS THUS HIGHLY SPECIALIZED, AND IF ANOTHER VENDOR IS USED, THE TEAM WILL NEED TO REBUILD THE BAYESIAN ANALYSIS FROM SCRATCH. THIS COULD DELAY THE NEW VULNERABILITY MAPPING, IN TERMS OF AN ACTIONABLE DECISION SUPPORT TOOL FOR NOAA'S WEST COAST REGION, BY AS MUCH AS TWO YEARS. THIS WOULD SEVERELY UNDERMINE THE AGENCY'S MISSION, GIVEN CURRENT PATTERNS OF COASTAL DEVELOPMENT AND LAND USE CHANGE, COMBINED WITH EXTINCTION TRAJECTORIES FOR SEVERAL SALMONID DISTINCT POPULATION. MOUNT HOOD ENVIRONMENTAL LLC IS THE ONLY VENDOR WHO IS QUALIFIED TO CONDUCT THIS SPECIALIZED STATISTICAL ANALYSES. PERIOD OF PERFORMANCE: DATE OF AWARD TO 09/30/2023. ***THIS NOTICE OF INTENT IS NOT A REQUEST FOR COMPETITIVE PROPOSALS AND NO SOLICITATION PACKAGE IS AVAILABLE. HOWEVER, FIRMS THAT BELIEVE THEY CAN FULLY MEET THE GOVERNMENT'S REQUIREMENTS MAY SUBMIT SUBSTANTIATING DOCUMENTATION IN WRITING TO THE IDENTIFIED POINT OF CONTACT WITHIN 15 DAYS AFTER PUBLICATION OF THIS SYNOPSIS. SUCH DOCUMENTATION WILL BE EVALUATED SOLELY FOR THE PURPOSE OF DETERMINING WHETHER OR NOT TO CONDUCT THIS PROCUREMENT ON A COMPETITIVE BASIS. A DETERMINATION BY THE GOVERNMENT NOT TO CONDUCT A COMPETITIVE PROCUREMENT, BASED UPON RESPONSES TO THIS NOTICE, IS SOLELY WITHIN THE DISCRETION OF THE GOVERNMENT. ORAL COMMUNICATIONS ARE NOT ACCEPTABLE IN RESPONSE TO THIS NOTICE.
- Web Link
-
SAM.gov Permalink
(https://sam.gov/opp/e07083fe23df4452a211559580e36212/view)
- Place of Performance
- Address: USA
- Country: USA
- Country: USA
- Record
- SN06747027-F 20230715/230713230050 (samdaily.us)
- Source
-
SAM.gov Link to This Notice
(may not be valid after Archive Date)
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