U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, WASC, Procurement Division, R&D Contracting Branch WC33, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, BIN C15700, Seattle, WA 98115

R -- STOCHASTIC POPULATION MODEL FOR CHINOOK SALMON IN THE SACRAMENTO RIVER SOL 52ABNF-6-00029 DUE 070896 POC For further information, call Contract Specialist Karen Bruce at 206-526-6370 This publication serves as notice of intent to procure, on a sole source basis, services to develop a working stochastic simulation model or set of models, which allow evaluation of alternative management actions and proposed major projects on the survival, recovery and growth of the winter-run of the endangered chinook salmon in the Sacramento River. The simulation model will assist the evaluation of the effects of projects affecting delta hydrology on winter salmon runs, and to compare the impact of different management options on winter-run salmon and on urban, agricultural, and fishing sectors. The contractor is responsible for coordinating, conducting and reporting on two scientific workshops, assembling and evaluating published and unpublished information factors for the development of the stochastic simulation model, re-evaluating results, considering new information, and evaluating the models and scenarios that are developed from the workshops, and development of the final deliverable, the computer simulation model. The Government believes only Captive Breeding Specialist Group (CBSG) has the unique and exceptional scientific expertise, scientific reputation, and experience in working with a wide diversity of people and interests. CBSG is known for developing stakeholder-sensitive management scenarios and computer simulation models that are biologically sound, and have in existence a unique widely-respected workshop process (Population and Habitat Viability Workshop (PHVA). CBSG possesses an unusual breadth and depth of training and experience in population biology, ecology, computer modeling, small group dynamics, and conflict resolution. CBSG is also the hub of a network of over 600 professionals experienced in species recovery planning, research, reproductive physiology, animal management, etc. All interested concerns who believe they can competitively and effectively provide these services must demonstrate experience in 1)coordinating and conducting scientific workshops, 2)developing stakeholder-sensitive management scenarios and developing stochastic simulation computer models that are biologically sound, 3) working with a wide diversity of people and interests, 4) consensus-building skills that promote collaborative working relationships among stakeholders and species experts, 5) exceptional scientific expertise and reputation, and 6) and must demonstrate they have the commitment of professionals in species recovery planning to participate in their simulation modeling. Responses must be sent to the above address not later than 30 days after publication of this notice. The period of performance is anticipated to be one year, starting approximately August 1996. This notice may represent the only official notice of such solicitation. See Note #22. (0162)

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