Defense Supply Service-Washington, 5200 Army Pentagon, Rm. 1D245, Washington, DC 20310-5200

B -- BROAD AGENCY ANNOUNCEMENT OF DEFENSE STUDIES FOR THE OSD OFFICE OF NET ASSESSMENT DUE 061900 POC Ms. Rebecca Bash, 703/697-1312 Extension 23 E-MAIL: Click here to contact the OSD/NA Action Officer via, bashr@mail.policy.osd.mil. This modification corrects the response date for submission of Concept Papers; the response date is 19 June 2000. The OSD Office of Net Assessment conducts and sponsors analyses that compare the standing, trends, and future prospects of US and foreign military capability and military potential. Priority is given to assessing aspects of the security environment and parts of the world that are likely to change in the future, and that may present threats or opportunities to the US. Assessments may focus on specific theaters, regions, functions, mission areas, major weapons categories, doctrine, etc., as well as on demographic, economic, and political developments that may affect the power and strategies of nations. Concept Papers (proposals) are invited that respond to the following requirements. Proposals will be considered that undertake comprehensive approaches to one or more of these areas, or that will investigate one or more particular aspects or cases that belong to the broader area: (1) Development of net assessment tools and methods. The range of uncertainty and controversy in military analysis and the likelihood of large changes in the conduct of warfare in the future require a continuing effort to develop new tools and methods for net assessment. This task includes the development of improved models of warfare, simulations of strategic competitions, and methods of measurement of national and alliance military and related capabilities. (2) Support for regional net assessments. Expert analyses are sought of major countries important to the US military as potential allies or adversaries, and of regions where military developments may involve or otherwise affect the US. Such analyses could include studies of demographic, economic, or political trends as they affect particular countries or regions; development of scenarios of strategic competition or military conflict; analyses of actual or plausible patterns of alliance or alignment; and the military traditions, institutions, doctrine, thinking, forces, and strategies of specific countries. (3) Support for functional net assessments. Research that conducts or supports cross-national comparisons of military and military-supporting capabilities in important functional areas, including but not limited to space systems, information systems and warfare, unmanned systems, undersea warfare, long range strike and defenses against such strike, power projection and capabilities to defend against power projection, blockade and counter-blockade, and the use of nuclear, chemical, and biological threats, attacks, and countermeasures. Research may investigate the relative importance of different functions to future warfare, identify trends and thresholds in the development of functional capabilities, develop comparative indicators and/or rankings of changing national or alliance capabilities, and assess the symmetrical or asymmetrical interaction of one or more functional capabilities in scenarios of military conflict. (4) Research on the future security environment. Innovative research is sought on specific topics important to an overall assessment of the ways in which the future security environment (i.e., roughly the next two decades) will present threats or opportunities to the US Department of Defense. Topics may include economic, social, political, technological, demographic, and resource trends and scenarios, considered globally or for specific countries or regions, that will change the goals, missions, or priorities of DoD. Specific topics and methods of analysis are not predetermined, and proposals will be judged according to the apparent importance of the subject and promise of the method. (5) Investigations of future warfare. Subjects of interest include future changes in methods of warfare and the technical, operational, and organizational innovations that will generate them; what kind of changes in warfare may be pursued by specific countries; the impact of such changes on future military balances. Studies may include manual or automated war gaming or simulations; analyses of particular technologies; development of operational concepts or organizational structures that take advantage of available or future technologies; design or conduct of experiments that assess the feasibility and value of postulated concepts or organizations; efforts to understand past periods of major military innovation; and analyses of the process by which military organizations are transformed from one force structure and organization to another. And, (6) Development of databases. This task includes collecting, organizing, updating, and revising cross-national time-series data on all relevant quantifiable military capabilities or other assets of military importance. It also includes the identification of useful categories of assets to be tabulated, the delineation of which characteristics of those assets should be tracked in the data base, the adaptation or invention of suitable scoring systems, rankings, or weights for use in data analysis. Databases of interest will support comparisons andtrend analyses of military and related assets of greatest importance to future military conflicts. Five copies of concept papers, preferably brief (approximately 15 pages) but detailed enough to indicate the methods and sources that would be used, should be submitted. The concept paper should include the total cost of the project. If the concept paper is selected, the contractor will be required to provide a formal technical and cost proposal. The concept papers will be judged on the potential contribution to OSD/Net Assessment's mission and Department of Defense concerns; the appropriateness and feasibility of the proposed technical approach; the qualifications, capabilities, and experience of the proposed principal investigator and key personnel, institutional resources, and facilities as well as affordable and realistic costs for the effort. The evaluation of the cost is subordinate to the technical evaluation, however cost will be evaluated. Award of selected proposals will be made subject to availability of funds. The type of funding instrument selected by the Government may be either firm fixed price contract, cost type contract, or cooperative agreement (no profit). Award may be made consistent with 10 U.S.C. 2358. Concept papers should be received as early as possible, but no later than June 19, 2000. No proposal will be returned, and companies whose proposals are not funded will not be advised of non-acceptance. Send concept papers to OSD/Net Assessment, Attn: Rebecca Bash, 2950 Defense Pentagon, Room 3A930, Washington, DC 20301-2950. Hand delivered proposals (to include courier delivery without access to the building) will not be accepted. The point of contact for this notice is Rebecca Bash who may be contacted at (703) 697-1312, extension 23 or via E-Mail at "bashr@mail.policy.osd.mil".***** Posted 04/14/00 (W-SN445080). (0105)

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