U.S. Department of Commerce/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/OFA/AGFS/AMD -- OFA51, 1305 East West Highway -- Station 7604, Silver Spring, Maryland 20910

B -- SPECIAL STUDIES AND ANALYSIS SOL 001255 DUE 082100 POC Sally Huber301-713-0855, Lawrence Frazier, 301-713-0851 B B- The U. S. Dept of Commerce (DOC), International Trade Administration (ITA), Tourism Development, (TD), Tourism Industries proposes to negotiate on a non-competitive basis with The Crossbrooks Organization, Alexandria, VA to provide a econometric model for one forecast with executive summary and associated report of international tourism arrivals. The forecast will be for more than 30 countries, to the U. S., and to update and maintain that model for Tourism industries. This forecast data is used to update country-specific "Market Profiles" each year. These "Profiles" contain arrivals projections for two to three years in the future, as will as projected travel receipts from each country. This data is used also to develop balance of payment forecasts, basing changes in tourism receipts on changes in tourism arrivals to the U. S. among other factors. This is a notice of intent and cannot be considered a solicitation, therefore no solicitation package exist. Award will be made using simplified acquisition procedures. Reference 001255 Posted 08/16/00 (W-SN486554). (0229)

Loren Data Corp. http://www.ld.com (SYN# 0013 20000818\B-0005.SOL)

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