GASOLINE MODELING REPORT

Notice Date

August 31, 2000

Contracting Office

Administrative Contracts Service Center (3803R), Environmental Protection Agency, Ronald Reagan Building -- 7th Floor, 1300 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W., Washington, DC 20460

ZIP Code

20460

E-Mail Address

CLick here to contact the Contracting Officer via (brown.mekeba@epa.gov)

Description

The Environmental Protection Agency intends to award a sole source Simplified Acquisition purchase order to MathPro, Inc. Post Office Box 34404 West Bethesda, MD 20827-0404. The Office of Transportation and Air Quality (OTAQ) requires a contractor to further resolve, through refinery modeling, the issues of non-oxygenated market share, fuel property values, and oxygen content for California's Phase 3 requirements (CaRFG3) if the oxygen requirement were waived with an MTBE ban in place. OTAQ also requires, for comparison purposes, an estimate or estimates of fuel property values for CaRFG3 if a waiver were not granted (i.e. 100% ethanol-oxygenated CaRFG3 in federal areas). OTAQ anticipates that market share, property values and oxygen content are somewhat interdependent. For example, fuel property values for both oxygenated and non-oxygenated CaRFG3 could change as market share is varied, or the optimum market share could vary with the oxygen content in the oxygenated portion of CaRFG3. More specifically, OTAQ wants to identify the most likely (i.e. economically optimum) market share, oxygen content and fuel property scenario. OTAQ also wants to understand how deviations from the market share (and possibly oxygen content) optimum values could affect fuel property values. For example, if it was determined that the optimal market share for non-oxygenated CaRFG3 in a split market was 40%, an additional case might be run where the non-oxygenated market share was constrained to be 60%. The contractor's analysis shall also identify and discuss those market factors that are likely to have a significant impact on the extent of use of oxygenates in CaRFG3. DESCRIPTION OF TASKS The contractor shall, after considering currently available analyses and information sources:1. Describe and recommend specific cases to be modeled; 2. Describe key modeling assumptions applicable to this modeling effort; 3. After consultation with and approval of the OTAQ Project Officer, perform the required modeling runs; and 4. Prepare a written summary containing modeling results. SOLE SOURCE JUSTIFICATION No other source has updated California refinery model already capable of adequately predicting the properties of market changes on California gasoline composition resulting from a waiver of the oxygenate requirements. It is imperative that the proposed decision be developed as quickly as possible in light of hte fact that California gasoline producers need as much lead time as possble to adequately plan for the composition of California gasoline. If any small business firm (According to FAR Part 13, all simplified acquisitions are reserved for small businesses, this includes not-for-profits and educational institutions) possess the characteristics/capabilities stated above you must submit a capability statement or other document detailing your company's experience/knowledge in each of the areas listed above. EPA technical representatives will evaluate any information submitted and make a determination of the company's qualifications to complete this work. Information should be submitted via E-mail to brown.mekeba@epa.gov )attachments should be in WordPerfect format) or faxed to Mekeba Barrett on 202-565-2554. NO DOCUMENTS SHOULD BE MAILED OR HAND CARRIED UNLESS DISCUSSED WITH THE CONTRACTING OFFICER BEFORE HAND. Any questions should be in writing and submitted no later than September 8, 2000, via E-mail or fax. An award will be made to the company listed above on or about September 18, 2000 if no inquiries are received that would necessitate a delay in award. The contracting officer (Mekeba Barrett) can be contacted via telephone on 202-564-4784.

Record

Loren Data Corp. 20000905/SPMSC006.HTM (W-244 SN492400)